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> Why bring up Taiwan and China? This feels incredibly cherry picked?

It’s because many times the obvious intuition is incorrect

He could’ve compared Singapore and China too


> You don't need to join a union to push back against unethical feature requests.

If you push back against unethical feature requests:

No union: you get fired

Union: you still get fired


maybe, but the union could provide a lot of services to someone who loses their job this way (like income insurance and legal services) and could leverage collective power over companies that demonstrate a pattern of behavior.


This is something that has just never sat well with me. How exactly will the union provide this insurance? That insurance isn't free, so paid for by member dues? How many members are required to be able to afford the payout for just one member? How about the other services unions are touted as being able to provide? They all come from the same dues? I know that unions will put money into investment funds to attempt to grow the coffers, but that just means the money isn't liquid.

Unions are always touted as a panacea, but logically, it doesn't compute for me. They feel more like ponzi schemes than anything else.


that's definitely a big question and i don't pretend to have enough expertise to answer fully; however, i will point to the Ontario Teacher's Pension Plan which is (per Wikipedia[1]) "one of the world's largest institutional investors [...] over $266 billion in net assets, with a one-year total-fund net return of 9.4%, and a 7.4% 10-year total-fund net return". the union runs their own investment fund; it's an extension of collective power into the financial realm.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ontario_Teachers%27_Pension_Pl...


That is only a pension plan. It provides no insurance to teachers who are still employed.


it's an example of how a union can use collective financial power to fund the services they offer to their members. a software engineer's union could prioritize income insurance over retirement.


> That insurance isn't free, so paid for by member dues?

Yes, obviously. That's how every insurance works.


Yes, obviously. A question not asked as assumed a natural part of the thinking process is how many members does it take to get to the center of a tootsie pop? Just because other unions exists does not mean that the one that techBro Norma Rae starts is going to remain viable. How many claims can be paid out before the insurance no longer pays out? Lots of conversation left after your trite yes obviously unhelpful comment


> This is something that has just never sat well with me. How exactly will the union provide this insurance? That insurance isn't free, so paid for by member dues?

That is how all unions were born.


Providing insurance was one reason for the emergence and popularity of friendly societies, fraternal organizations, and trade unions in the 19th century. But out of that emerged the modern insurance industry, so you can now just buy those products directly. Unemployment insurance may be an exception, but that's because employer-mandated unemployment insurance is now so ubiquitous.

The modern "welfare state" also emerged out of those earlier grassroots movements. Now we take it for granted. One downside is that the state has largely displaced the incentive for those private societies.

And for the conspiratorial minded: that displacement was in part a deliberate attempt to limit the power of collective action and employees generally. In the early 20th century, jury awards for horrendous workplace accidents were often large and starting to threaten the bottom line. Employer-mandated workers' compensation insurance was promoted by companies as a way to limit their liability. This is why you typically cannot sue your employer for most workplace accidents if you're covered by workers' compensation. The same legislation that mandates workers' compensation insurance shields employers from liability for workplace accidents. Especially in the case of grievous injury or permanent disability, an employee likely would have gotten much greater compensation in a civil suit than what they'll get in workers' compensation. (OTOH, considering all workplace injuries and compensation together, maybe the bargain was worth it overall. Employee societies may never have achieved the degree of coverage the legal mandate did, and maybe those societies would never have been able to provide more compensation on average than employees get now.)


That's great insight. Thanks for contributing.


Simple idea: look how other unions work, and in other countries as well. The wheel has already been invented.


You can say that about a lot of things. The car was already invented, but so many new car companies struggle. Just because a thing exists does not mean someone else can come along to immediately become successful with thing.


The question as I took it was "I can't imagine how this can work". Interpreting it as anything else is defeatism and I won't entertain that.


It's not defeatism. It's doing the research to avoid unnecessary failure from over ambitiousness getting in the way of doing something the right way. This isn't a Show HN situation where you go and get some VC funding and yolo your way through it. This is something that if it's not done right it could have a greater blast radius than some VC funded startup shutting down with a "What we've learned" blog post.


Makes sense, but I haven't seen in the comments the signs of research having been done. Or maybe you were hoping that I am doing the research for you, while you brainstorm how it can't work? I am an union member, albeit not in the US, and for me it looks fine. Sample size of 1, but a sample which says it does work. Take this information as you wish.


Still a better outcome than tossing your ethics overboard.


Why bother to join a union, pay dues, potentially have your career limited, and have another layer to deal with?

Just leave or be fired without the song and dance.


Because you’re a person who cares about your fellow citizens and realize that collectively bargaining helps to lift all boats, not just yours


How would your career be limited?


union strong, bro.


I didn't get fired.


Maybe don't apply to Meta in the first place? With their track record it's pretty obvious that you'll be part of building something morally dubious.


> I think the point is that at small scale a single accident poses a risk of ruin to your small operations.

At big scale, a single big accident poses a risk to ruin your big operations.


No, it does not. Every large company eventually has a big accident. They survive because they have both the resources (e.g. to fight ensuing legal battles, or pay fines, or simply weather a hit to reputation and the resulting downturn in revenue) as well as redundancy, different types of insurance, and so on.


They also survive because they invest those resources in some amount of mitigation ahead of time. They don't survive when they don't scale their mitigations along with the business.


Companies of all sizes should have insurance to cover such scenarios. You need to get tradesman's insurance on your repair work, or you need to ask yourself why the insurance companies won't insure you.


> That doesn't sound like a one-trillion-dollar company is supposed to operate, does it?

It’s not a one trillion dollar company anymore.

Anthropic won enterprise and Gemini is taking ChatGPTs consumer subscriptions month over month.

Morale at OAI is all time low right now.


> Anthropic won enterprise

Depends on the enterprise, Mistral are pretty big here in EMEA because they're more trustworthy and you can self-host. Self-hosting ensures you can control costs better, fine tune the models for your own funky whatever (e.g. Ericsson fine tuned models to understand and run in their their custom silicon) but most of all, that your data remains where it needs to be.

My bet is that this kind of enterprise deployment with customisation is where the real big money in AI is (and not coding assistants), but it will mostly be spent by the big banks, industrial giants and SAPs of the world, who will want control.


How different are the big boy Gemini models to the one you unconsensually get to interact with when using Google? Cause I have a really hard time imagining using that for anything willingly, even if it was outright free. It's dumb as a rock, and it's been that way for several years now.


If you're talking about the web ai overview thing, then the difference is day and night. Frontier gemini models are on par imo what you get with OpenAI and Anthropic models for most general tasks.


Let’s not discount DeepSeek in this space…workhorse, in many respects.


> No well-paid workers (or UBI), no consumer economy. Their call.

Maybe you’re right.

Maybe you’re wrong.

No point wasting money on UBI before it’s a problem. Let’s wait and see if UBI is actually required.

That is, do people actually protest and vote. Probably not.


Yeah; after all, if we went and gave people money when it wasn't absolutely required for living, we'd just have made everyone's lives better, made the economy more robust, and given people a real chance who were struggling, all for nothing![0]

[0] cf. https://www.insidehighered.com/sites/default/files/2023-07/H...


“Nine missed meals from anarchy.” There’s a lot of armed people in the US so social unrest will be a problem if they ever get so angry that Fox News can’t trank them.


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