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> 40 years is kind of nothing in terms of geological time.

True, but if you take that view, that 40 years is a blink of an eye, we could be creating the equivalent of a supervolcano.

It's a bad rule of thumb and extremely simplistic to apply the law of large numbers on an extremely complex, dynamic and chaotic system like the earth, it's ecosystem, weather patterns, etc, like the system oscillates back and forth as a pendulum moving in one or two dimensions would. The mean is always in flux and sometimes it is completely obliterated.



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