>From what I can learn from the history the web has mostly been centralised and will continue to be so.
How do you define "web" and "centralized" here? The internet (not necessarily the world wide web) was created to be decentralized because the US military recognized that having a single point of communication failure was a bad design (http://ccr.sigcomm.org/archive/1995/jan95/ccr-9501-clark.pdf).
In my estimation, the most centralized thing about the internet as we currently know it is the physical infrastructure (which is still not really centralized, but there's a relatively small number of Tier 1 networks connecting everyone else). But the protocols can be implemented over radio if necessary (albeit much more slowly), so even that's not really centralized.
My estimation is that as governments increase regulation of the internet as we know it, more people will move to TOR or something like it (move to the "dark web" if you like) as a way to just do normal internet things without the need for a lawyer. The governments in turn may decide to outlaw that (as in China), but enforcement of that seems infeasible against determined and skilled citizens.
How do you define "web" and "centralized" here? The internet (not necessarily the world wide web) was created to be decentralized
Web as the world wide web of HTML pages served over the HTTP protocol. And centralised as served by the handful of biggest players in each market.
Even early on big centralised portals were attracting users. Internet started to attract common folks as soon as some services grew big enough to become "go to sites" at which point word of mouth was crushing smaller players. People didn't use Neighbour Joe's Web Crawler for searching, people used something like Alta Vista. The market for shopping on the internet increased directly as a function of big commerce sites gaining popularity. The small players never enjoyed more than a fraction of the number of users the big players had.
It seems to me that this suggests common people who do not have an interest in technology want to rely on a single (or at most few) brand(s) of service providers which basically leads to a winner-takes-all market and that just adds into centralised nature. If your mother wants to buy something on the internet isn't the only clue she has called "Amazon" ? (Or some applicable local market leader, depending on the country.)
Even if internet itself was completely decentralised and people were using RFC 1149 to reach the net I'm pretty sure they would still be connecting to Amazon, Ebay, Google, and other centralised hubs.
How do you define "web" and "centralized" here? The internet (not necessarily the world wide web) was created to be decentralized because the US military recognized that having a single point of communication failure was a bad design (http://ccr.sigcomm.org/archive/1995/jan95/ccr-9501-clark.pdf).
In my estimation, the most centralized thing about the internet as we currently know it is the physical infrastructure (which is still not really centralized, but there's a relatively small number of Tier 1 networks connecting everyone else). But the protocols can be implemented over radio if necessary (albeit much more slowly), so even that's not really centralized.
My estimation is that as governments increase regulation of the internet as we know it, more people will move to TOR or something like it (move to the "dark web" if you like) as a way to just do normal internet things without the need for a lawyer. The governments in turn may decide to outlaw that (as in China), but enforcement of that seems infeasible against determined and skilled citizens.