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Perhaps those in tech can simply see further out. It reminds me of the advent of the internet, the lay person also didn't care, until websites and web apps were made that catered to their needs. But the people who made those sites and apps were precisely the tech people who could see beyond the lay person's idea of what the internet was. So too with AI.


This is the sort of stock line, and we're inclined to believe it because we're all in tech.

But go back on HN a decade and be really honest.

Are we any better than average at forecasting?

I'm starting to think that being on the bleeding edge and seeing so many possible alternate futures actually makes us worse


History clearly shows that we are no better than anyone else when it comes to predicting what's going to turn out to be important and world-changing.

Everyone is terrible at that.


So too with NFTs and web3 /s


Without the sarcasm, yes :)


AI actually does something useful, Web3 doesn't.


Perhaps they have Gell-Mann amnesia and a case of engineer’s disease.




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