As someone who tries to push the limits of hard coding tasks (mainly refactoring old codebases) to LLMs with not much improvement since the last round of models, I'm finding that we are hitting the reduction of rate of improvement on the S-curve of quality. Obviously getting the same quality cheaper would be huge, but the quality of the output day to day isn't noticeable to me.
I find it struggles to even refactor codebases that aren't that large. If you have a somewhat complicated change that spans the full stack, and has some sort of wrinkle that makes it slightly more complicated than adding a data field, then even the most modern LLMs seem to trip on themselves. Even when I tell it to create a plan for implementation and write it to a markdown file and then step through those steps in a separate prompt.
Not that it makes it useless, just that we seem to not "be there" yet for the standard tasks software engineers do every day.
I haven’t used GPT5 yet, but even on a 1000 line code base I found Opus 4, o3, etc. to be very hit or miss. The trouble is I can’t seem to predict when these models will hit. So the misses cost time, reducing their overall utility.
I'm exclusively using sonnet via claude-code on their max plan (opting to specify sonnet so that opus isn't used). I just wasn't pleased with the opus output, but maybe I just need to use it differently. I haven't bothered with 4.1 yet. Another thing I noticed is opus would eat up my caps super quick, whereas using sonnet exclusively I never hit a cap.
I'd really just love incremental improvements over sonnet. Increasing the context window on sonnet would be a game changer for me. After auto-compact the quality may fall off a cliff and I need to spend some time bringing it back up to speed.
When I need a bit more punch for more reasoning / architecture type evaluations, I have it talk to gemini pro via zen mcp and OpenRouter. I've been considering setting up a subagent for architecture / system design decisions that would use the latest opus to see if it's better than gemini pro (so far I have no complaints though).
Agree, I think they'll need to move to performance now. If a model was comparable to Claude 4, but took like 500ms or less per edit. A quicker feedback loop would be a big improvement.